Through four weeks DG (9-6) holds a slight edge over LTS (8-7) thanks to the improbable Kansas City miracle cover Monday night. Chiefs backers were probably doing a dance similar to Travis Kelce’s end-zone celebration after that last second front-door cover. That’s the beauty of the NFL, we get to do it all again this weekend. Week 5 features an interesting slate that only consists of two favorites larger than a field goal. This is a survivor pool nightmare, especially if you already took the Steelers in week 1. Here are the picks in the league where they play for pay (S/O Francesa).
LordTreeSap: 8-7 Overall, 2-1 Lock
Jets (-1) @ Browns
The tank is off people! The Jets have played some inspiring football the last two weeks, defeating the Dolphins and Jaguars at home. In a match up that most thought would feature two teams vying for next year’s number one pick, now sees Gang Green looking to get over .500 as a match up at Metlife with the 3-2 Patriots looms large next week. I’m just as surprised as you guys that the Jets are doing this, they’ll somehow get it done Sunday in the Josh McCown revenge game, who has won back to back starts for the first time since 2004.
Seahawks (Pick) @ Rams
The classic big brother versus little brother match up. Whoever comes out victorious will have a stranglehold on the NFC West. I don’t know if the Rams are ready just yet to overtake Seattle, as Vegas has given them respect opening as 1 point favorites. Seattle looked like themselves once again in a dominant second half against Indy, the big brother is victorious come Sunday.
Ravens (+3) @ Raiders
I know, the Ravens have looked horrendous the past couple weeks after a fast start, but the Raiders haven’t been exactly impressive either after two straight losses and now they are going to be without Derek Carr for about a month. This line tells me the Raiders with E.J. Manuel under center are even with the Ravens and I disagree. Prove me right Joe Flacco and company!
Packers (+2.5) @ Cowboys
Aaron Rodgers is absolutely going to feast on this struggling Cowboy secondary, even though the Pack come into this premier match up a little banged up, but Ty Montgomery and Davante Adams are expected to play. This will probably be similar to the playoff game we saw in January. Give me Green Bay in a tight one.
Lock: Chargers @ Giants (-3)
The battle of the 0-4s. I see a lot of people going with the Giants in survivor pools and I agree this is a good spot for them to get off the schneid. The Chargers coming east for a 1 P.M. start gives the G-Men a chance to get out to an early lead. Eli and Philip Rivers will forever be tied at the hip after being dealt for each other at the 2004 NFL Draft. NYG gets their first win as the Chargers fall to 0-5 and will have even less fans in Los Angeles at the Stubhub Center the rest of the way.
DG: 9-6 Overall, 2-1 Lock
Packers (+2.5) @ Cowboys
I think this game will turn out exactly like the divisional playoff game. Green Bay starts off red hot. Then, Dallas will make its run and eventually tie the game. Mason Crosby kicks a game winner again. I really think this has shootout written all over it. When push comes to shove, I’ll go down with Aaron Rodgers any day of the week.
Panthers @ Lions (-2)
Folks, the Lions are for real. They are one yard away from being undefeated. Stafford has come out guns blazing and will be in the MVP discussion when the year comes to an end. I like their defense led by their front 7. What have the Lions been missing during the Matthew Stafford era? A running back who can actually…run! Ameer Abdullah is showing what he can do when healthy and is a viable running option. Lions by a touchdown.
Jets @ Browns (+1)
Home dogs!!!!! The Browns have to win a game, right? The Jets want to lose, right? I feel like I’m taking crazy pills. No game analysis here. I just think the universe has to right the wrong that they did to Jets fan by giving them 2 wins. The tanks is back on as DeShone Kizer gets his first win as a pro.
Jaguars @ Steelers (-7)
The Steelers are an enigma. They struggle versus the Browns and Ravens. They blow out their archival Ravens. I really can’t figure them out. Can they put two good games together in a row? I think that will happen this week. Bell finally had a breakout game and I see him reaching the end zone multiple time this week. Also, look for Martavis Bryant to score in the end zone. He is super due.
Lock: 49ers @ Colts (-1)
Nothing gets the juices flowing like betting on bad teams. The 49ers have ZERO idea how to finish. In their last 3 games, they have lost by a combined 8 points. They could’ve easily won all 3 games too. The Colts are another mystery too. Andrew Luck finally returned to practice so that’s promising. They’ve either gotten blown out or kept it to a 3 point game. This actually might be my survivor league pick as well. I like home teams in survivor and I’m trusting Jakey Brissett over Brian Hoyer.